Using Bayesian inference to predict fishing success: It was surprisingly effective.
(Since the publication of this blog post, I have updated the toy model presented here with a new version that does not employ the poor choices of the model below. The revisions in the new model are described here .) Having completed my second book of 2023, the excellent " Bournville " (see review here ), I was keen to catch fish species number 2. In fact, my blogging is lagging well behind both my fishing and reading. Here is a list of the books I have read so far this year for the challenge (in case anyone might be interested in a sneak preview of what book reviews are in store). The mild weather earlier in January 2023 had passed and rural Surrey was in the grip of a bitter cold spell, something that’s generally not conducive to catching fish. In fact, as mentioned in the blog post about the first species of the year (the zander), I carried out a scientific study a few years back which demonstrated that I caught fewer zander when the weather was colder!...