Eugenics: A very dark history
This was the first book I read, very early in 2023, as part of my self-imposed, year-long challenge that I explained in an earlier blog. The page numbers I give below relate to the hardback version.
Part 2 of the book concerns where we are today: "the troubling present of eugenics" noted in the subtitle of the book. The title for Part 2 also gives a hint as to what Rutherford will conclude: "Same as it ever was". I also like to think this shows, for once in my lifetime, that one of Britian's currently prominent scientific talking heads is a fan of David Byrne et al. Am I right, am I wrong?
There are several interlocking strands to Part 2. First, Rutherford demonstrates that eugenics is alive and kicking today (or until very recently) in the guise of selective population control policies, in countries as different as China, the US, and Canada. Rutherford contrasts these policies with the variety of methods now routinely deployed to test for a range of conditions during pregnancy or even before embryos are implanted as part of assisted reproduction techniques. He states his belief, more than once, that these methods do not equate to eugenics but acknowledges that they share a scientific history.
In the second strand, Rutherford discusses whether the explosion of knowledge about genetics in recent decades has encouraged a re-emergence of eugenic thinking and relatedly whether this recent knowledge could add powerful tools to a neo-eugenicist's armoury. This part of the book is right in Rutherford's wheelhouse as he is a geneticist by training. To flesh out his arguments he starts with a helpful primer on the modern history of genetics (pp. 161-179).
One of the main outcomes of genetics research is that that we are now able to identify the parts of our DNA that play a significant role in traits and diseases; however, complex traits such as intelligence, personality and mental illness almost always involve a large number of genetic loci, with each individual locus contributing very small effects to the trait concerned. Moreover, the mechanisms by which these genes work is extraordinarily complex and, as yet, poorly understood.
The second outcome is that we have invented a variety of methods for changing DNA. Rutherford's book starts with a description of the 2018 work by Chinese scientist, He Jiankui, in which he had illegally (and unsuccessfully) experimented on baby twin girls' DNA using the CRISPR gene editing system, in order to try to inoculate them against HIV infection. Rutherford fleshes out the details on pages 190-197. Cases like this one, Rutherford believes, are contributing to a re-emergence of pro-eugenic thinking. Rutherford calls out the recent explosion of such writing by provocateurs, pseudo-scientists, and political bloggers, giving examples (pp. 198-211) of how this has propagated misunderstandings of the underpinning science. This is all reminiscent, for Rutherford, of the Galton era when eugenics previously exploded into the mainsteam.
Theoretically, eugenics could now be pursued in a more powerful and informed way. The ethical aspects of doing so are currently being discussed. In the third strand of Part 2 of his book Rutherford sets aside these moral questions temporarily to ask whether what is being discussed is actually possible. There is an assumption that "of course" eugenics would work. By way of illustration, Rutherford (p. 239) cites the now infamous tweet by Richard Dawkins which stated, while explicitly not endorsing the pursuit of eugenics, that if it works for farm animals, pets and flowers, then eugenics will surely work for humans.
By contrast, Rutherford questions the idea that eugenics would work, even (or especially) when informed by a knowledge of modern genetics. In my view he does so robustly and expertly in the remainder of part 2. Importantly, his counter-argument begins with a quite technical section of the book (pp. 211-225) which he likens to a summary of a basic graduate school course on genetics. Rutherford argues that one needs to understand the "nuts and bolts" of modern genetics to realise how simplistic it is to claim that eugenics will "work", and returns to his earlier theme of the dangers posed when complex ideas are grasped poorly by ideologues.
The book concludes by arguing that eugenics didn't work in the past and wouldn't work now in most cases. The Holocaust tried to purfiy the Nordic race: this was "folly squared" for Rutherford. His view, which is currently widely held, is that there is no such thing as the Nordic race or racial purity. In addition, the Nazis tried to eliminate many diseases by sterilisation and murder: for example, they sterilised or killed at least 3/4 of all diagnosed German schizophrenics. However, this did not decrease the number of new cases of schizophrenia when this was assessed 3 decades after the war (if anything the incidence was higher than in comparable European countries).
Rutherford ends (p. 250) by stating "I cannot see a way in which genetic modification to improve the stock of people could be achieved without costs that dwarf arguably marginal benefits." On using embryo selection he adds: "I'd be sceptical about its utility for simple traits such as eye colour and cynical about it for much more complex traits, such as for behaviours, intelligence or to curtail the risk of mental health problems." You'll have to read the book for the detailed arguments supporting these conclusions.
As might be obvious, I am generally in close agreement with Rutherford's analysis and arguments throughout the book. However, he did write: "Galton's legacy is great, but he will and should be remembered primarily for his role in ushering eugenics into the twentieth century [p. 41, emphasis added]". Here I found myself in potential disagreement. Galton made important contributions to the development of very many fields (exploration, metereology, forensics, composite photography to name a few) but, for me, his most important work was in the fields of statistics and psychometrics. Hundreds of thousands of researchers, across almost every domain of science, have used the statistical techniques, such as correlation and regression, which he pioneered. In psychology specifically, he was one of the principal forefathers of psychological measurement, being the first to apply general techniques (such as the questionnaire) that are now deployed on a daily basis by psychologists around the world. Should we remember Galton primarily for his enthusiastic advocacy for the morally abhorrent applications of his statistical contributions? I think the reason why we remember Einstein for his theoretical physics rather than, say, the atom bomb that derived from his equations, is because Einstein warned about the dangers that lay ahead with the potential applications of his ideas. Galton, by contrast, embraced eugenics, and his statistical work was aimed directly at achieving an understanding of the mechanisms that might be brought into the service of the social application of eugenics.
As Rutherford relates (pp. 136-138), University College London has removed the names of Galton and other eugenicists, such as Pearson, from their University buildings, professorships and departments. This seems completely appropriate to Rutherford (p.139), and to me: we should not commemorate these thinkers, precisely because they enthusiastically advocated applying their research in ways which most people now deplore. But can it be right to simultaneously say that these ideas for applying their science should be the primary ways in which we remember them? I prefer to be 100% clear about why their reputations are so tarnished, and I offer neither exoneration nor try to make revisions to the history. However, I am willing to stress their positive contributions to the foundations of science. I am unsure if Rutherford feels the same way. Maybe mine is a naive approach.
In consequence, after reading this book, it made me want to go back and read more details about Galton's statistical contributions. Statistics Professor Steven Stigler always writes with great authority on the history of statistics, so it wasn't long before I alighted on one of his seminal papers about Galton's contribution to statistical thinking. Stigler (2010) argues that Galton's papers in 1877, and even more so his work in 1885/6, ushered in the era of "statistical enlightenment". That is high praise, and the paper is well worth reading. For those who can't access Stigler's paper, I will attempt a brief description of the insights Galton had in the 1870s and 1880s, but it will have to wait for a later blog.
Reading Rutherford's book was a pleasure in itself but it also enabled me (under the rules of the challenge described here) to embark of the first step of the fishing arm of my 2023 challenge. I'll describe that in a later blog entry, too.
References
Fisher, R.A. (1999). The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection. Edited with a foreword and notes by J. H. Bennett (A complete variorum ed.). Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. [This is a significant update on the original 1930 text including additional previously unpublished material.]
Rutherford, A. (2023). Control: The Dark History and Troubling Present of Eugenics. Orion Publishing Group, Limited.
Stigler, S. M. (2010). Darwin, Galton and the statistical enlightenment. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 173(3), 469–482.
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